Framing Analysis
U.S. GDP expanded at a 1.5% annual rate in the second quarter of 2026, down from 2.1% in the first quarter. Consumer spending rose to a 3.2% pace from 0.5%, while business investment excluding housing moderated to 8.4% from 10.6%. The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge remained above its 2% target and 30-year mortgage rates reached a one-year high.